Current Model: Predictive: Scoring Efficiency
Last Updated: June 15, 2026 1:30 AM
| Quad 1A | Quad 1 | Quad 2 | Quad 3 | Quad 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | 5-2 | 6-2 | 6-0 | 5-0 |
|
At-Large
Overall Seed: 10 Seed Line: 3 Region: Midwest |
| Date | Quad | Opp Rank |
H/A | Opponent | Opp Conf |
Win Prob |
Pred Score |
Final Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 03 | Q4 |
164 |
Lipscomb | ASun | 95.7% | 89-66 | W 105-61 | |
| Nov 08 | Q1A |
53 |
@ | Central Florida | B12 | 70.9% | 85-77 | W 105-93 |
| Nov 12 | Q4 |
271 |
Eastern Kentucky | ASun | 98.4% | 95-66 | W 92-62 | |
| Nov 15 | Q4 |
310 |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff | SWAC | 99.1% | 96-64 | W 104-75 | |
| Nov 20 | Q4 |
326 |
Texas Southern | SWAC | 99.3% | 94-61 | W 109-74 | |
| Nov 26 | Q3 |
186 |
N | Western Kentucky | CUSA | 94.1% | 88-66 | W 83-78 |
| Nov 27 | Q1 |
52 |
N | Virginia Commonwealth | A10 | 76.2% | 82-73 | W 89-74 |
| Nov 28 | Q1A |
32 |
N | Saint Mary's | WCC | 66.6% | 74-68 | W 96-71 |
| Dec 03 | Q2 |
35 |
SMU | ACC | 75.1% | 85-76 | W 88-69 | |
| Dec 13 | Q3 |
144 |
Central Arkansas | ASun | 94.6% | 88-66 | W 83-72 | |
| Dec 17 | Q3 |
139 |
@ | Memphis | AAC | 87.7% | 85-69 | W 77-70 |
| Dec 21 | Q1 |
58 |
@ | Wake Forest | ACC | 71.3% | 82-75 | W 98-67 |
| Dec 29 | Q4 |
313 |
New Haven | NE | 99.1% | 85-52 | W 96-53 | |
| Jan 03 | Q3 |
97 |
@ | South Carolina | SEC | 82.4% | 81-69 | W 83-71 |
| Jan 07 | Q1 |
14 |
Alabama | SEC | 63.1% | 90-85 | W 96-90 | |
| Jan 10 | Q3 |
55 |
LSU | SEC | 84.0% | 86-73 | W 84-73 | |
| Jan 14 | Q2 |
41 |
@ | Texas | SEC | 63.0% | 82-78 | L 64-80 |
| Jan 17 | Q1A |
4 |
Florida | SEC | 46.1% | 78-79 | L 94-98 | |
| Jan 20 | Q1A |
15 |
@ | Arkansas | SEC | 45.8% | 84-85 | L 68-93 |
| Jan 24 | Q2 |
99 |
@ | Mississippi State | SEC | 82.7% | 86-73 | W 88-56 |
| Jan 27 | Q2 |
23 |
Kentucky | SEC | 69.3% | 81-74 | W 80-55 | |
| Jan 31 | Q3 |
68 |
Ole Miss | SEC | 86.5% | 82-67 | W 71-68 | |
| Feb 07 | Q2 |
42 |
Oklahoma | SEC | 78.3% | 84-74 | L 91-92 | |
| Feb 10 | Q1 |
34 |
@ | Auburn | SEC | 59.4% | 82-79 | W 84-76 |
| Feb 14 | Q2 |
33 |
Texas A&M | SEC | 74.7% | 87-78 | W 82-69 | |
| Feb 18 | Q1 |
51 |
@ | Missouri | SEC | 69.2% | 80-73 | L 80-81 |
| Feb 21 | Q1 |
16 |
Tennessee | SEC | 63.0% | 75-71 | L 65-69 | |
| Feb 25 | Q2 |
24 |
Georgia | SEC | 69.1% | 88-81 | W 88-80 | |
| Feb 28 | Q1A |
23 |
@ | Kentucky | SEC | 52.6% | 78-77 | L 77-91 |
| Mar 03 | Q2 |
68 |
@ | Ole Miss | SEC | 74.7% | 79-70 | W 89-86 |
| Mar 07 | Q1A |
16 |
@ | Tennessee | SEC | 45.8% | 72-74 | W 86-82 |
| Mar 13 | Q1 |
16 |
N | Tennessee | SEC | 54.5% | 72-71 | W 75-68 |
| Mar 14 | Q1A |
4 |
N | Florida | SEC | 37.6% | 75-79 | W 91-74 |
| Mar 15 | Q1A |
15 |
N | Arkansas | SEC | 54.5% | 84-82 | L 75-86 |