NCAA College Basketball Rankings

Current Model: Predictive: Scoring Efficiency
Last Updated: June 15, 2026 1:30 AM

Duke
Record:     32-2 (ACC: 20-1)
Predicted: 29-5 (ACC: 18-3)


Quad Records for Tournament Seeding

Quad 1A Quad 1 Quad 2 Quad 3 Quad 4
8-2 9-0 5-0 2-0 8-0

Projected NCAA Tournament Status

Automatic Qualifier
Overall Seed: 3    Seed Line: 1    Region: East

Game Predictions

Date Quad Opp
Rank
H/A Opponent Opp
Conf
Win
Prob
Pred
Score
Final
Score
Nov 04
Q2
41
N Texas SEC 86.7% 80-64 W 75-60
Nov 08
Q4
193
Western Carolina Srn 99.2% 88-56 W 95-54
Nov 11
Q4
339
@ Army Pat 99.7% 89-51 W 114-59
Nov 14
Q4
203
Indiana State MVC 99.3% 87-54 W 100-62
Nov 18
Q1A
21
N Kansas B12 77.8% 72-61 W 78-66
Nov 21
Q4
341
Niagara MAAC 99.9% 85-41 W 100-42
Nov 23
Q4
238
Howard MEAC 99.5% 86-51 W 93-56
Nov 27
Q1A
15
N Arkansas SEC 75.0% 81-72 W 80-71
Dec 02
Q1A
4
Florida SEC 67.9% 75-69 W 67-66
Dec 06
Q1A
12
@ Michigan State B10 65.0% 70-65 W 66-60
Dec 16
Q4
164
Lipscomb ASun 98.9% 87-55 W 97-73
Dec 20
Q1A
18
N Texas Tech B12 76.1% 73-64 L 81-82
Dec 31
Q4
161
Georgia Tech ACC 98.8% 86-56 W 85-79
Jan 03
Q1
64
@ Florida State ACC 88.3% 82-66 W 91-87
Jan 06
Q1A
11
@ Louisville ACC 64.0% 76-71 W 84-73
Jan 10
Q2
35
SMU ACC 89.2% 82-66 W 82-75
Jan 14
Q1
80
@ California ACC 90.6% 79-61 W 71-56
Jan 17
Q1
66
@ Stanford ACC 88.4% 78-61 W 80-50
Jan 24
Q2
58
Wake Forest ACC 94.1% 83-61 W 90-69
Jan 26
Q1
11
Louisville ACC 78.7% 79-68 W 83-52
Jan 31
Q1
54
@ Virginia Tech ACC 86.7% 79-64 W 72-58
Feb 03
Q4
153
Boston College ACC 98.7% 79-49 W 67-49
Feb 07
Q1A
27
@ North Carolina ACC 75.5% 75-66 L 68-71
Feb 10
Q3
91
@ Pittsburgh ACC 92.1% 76-56 W 70-54
Feb 14
Q1
36
Clemson ACC 89.3% 73-56 W 67-54
Feb 16
Q3
78
Syracuse ACC 95.9% 83-59 W 101-64
Feb 21
Q1A
1
N Michigan B10 49.3% 71-71 W 68-63
Feb 24
Q2
89
@ Notre Dame ACC 91.8% 80-61 W 100-56
Feb 28
Q1A
19
Virginia ACC 82.6% 75-62 W 77-51
Mar 02
Q1
31
@ North Carolina State ACC 78.0% 80-70 W 93-64
Mar 07
Q1
27
North Carolina ACC 87.1% 78-63 W 76-61
Mar 12
Q2
64
N Florida State ACC 92.1% 82-63 W 80-79
Mar 13
Q1
36
N Clemson ACC 84.7% 70-56 W 73-61
Mar 14
Q1A
19
N Virginia ACC 76.5% 72-62 W 74-70